AEK Athens vs Lamia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
3º
2º
35
6º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
OLP
2 - 0
AEK
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PAO
3 - 2
AEK
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
3 - 0
PAN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 2
AEK
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 0
ARI
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lamia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
LAM
2 - 4
ARI
20%
27%
54%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OLP
4 - 1
LAM
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 1
PAO
15%
22%
64%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 5
PAN
21%
27%
52%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 1
LAM
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |