AEK Athens B vs Iraklis Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
11º
4º
29
4º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
78.5% | 20% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21.5% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 1
AEK
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
KAM
1 - 1
AEK
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
NIK
1 - 1
AEK
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
AEK
0 - 1
LEV
23%
27%
49%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
PTF
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
IRA
2 - 2
KAM
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
IRA
20%
26%
55%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 0
NIK
42%
29%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 0
IRA
75%
18%
8%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
IRA
3 - 1
AOC
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |