Jaguar vs Flamengo Arcoverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
70.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
ADJ
3 - 2
LIM
20%
20%
61%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SED
2 - 0
ADJ
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
CAT
2 - 3
ADJ
67%
17%
15%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ADJ
2 - 2
PER
12%
16%
71%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
FEC
1 - 0
ADJ
64%
18%
18%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo Arcoverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ACA
3 - 1
FEC
24%
21%
55%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FEC
4 - 0
CAT
61%
21%
19%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
FEC
2 - 1
SED
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ISC
0 - 2
FEC
37%
22%
40%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
FEC
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |