Cristo Rey vs Carnoedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
11%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cristo Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 5
CRI
36%
21%
43%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MER
1 - 4
CRI
15%
17%
69%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CRI
2 - 2
ATL
79%
12%
9%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 3
CRI
64%
17%
19%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CRI
3 - 2
PAS
78%
12%
9%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carnoedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
MER
63%
18%
20%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 2
CAR
43%
20%
37%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
SPO
16%
18%
66%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAS
2 - 4
CAR
39%
22%
40%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
POR
13%
17%
71%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +3 |