Castilla Dueñas vs Astudillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
55.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MON
3 - 0
CAS
48%
22%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
6 - 1
CDV
32%
20%
48%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
CAS
27%
20%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
UDB
79%
13%
9%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JOP
1 - 2
CAS
28%
20%
52%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Astudillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDV
3 - 2
AST
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
AST
3 - 0
BAL
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AST
9 - 5
UDB
89%
8%
4%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 3
AST
12%
18%
71%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
AST
3 - 2
CER
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |