Alcorcón vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 3
ALC
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
HER
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PON
2 - 0
ALC
35%
29%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 1
ALC
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MIR
0 - 0
NUM
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 0
REC
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HUE
1 - 1
NUM
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
NUM
2 - 0
SPO
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
NUM
2 - 2
TUD
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |