CD Acero vs Hércules B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
13º
13º
28
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 30% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 70% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 1
ACE
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
ACE
0 - 1
ATZ
22%
25%
53%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GAN
0 - 0
ACE
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ACE
0 - 0
PCF
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
ACE
43%
26%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
SIL
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
TCF
5 - 0
HER
58%
23%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HER
4 - 3
ATH
35%
26%
39%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 1
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 0
HER
67%
21%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |