Accrington Stanley vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
STA
2 - 2
HAR
63%
21%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
CRE
0 - 1
STA
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
GRI
2 - 0
STA
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
STA
0 - 1
PLY
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LEY
1 - 0
STA
34%
28%
39%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
OPA
1 - 0
LUT
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
LUT
3 - 1
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
LUT
0 - 1
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BPO
0 - 2
LUT
42%
28%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 1
CUM
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |