Académica vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
NAV
3 - 1
ACA
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 3
BMA
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 0
ACA
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 2
VST
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
OLH
2 - 1
ACA
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
POR
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
FCP
1 - 0
RIO
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 2
SLB
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 3
VIT
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
RIO
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |