Académica vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 1
ACA
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
ACA
47%
28%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ACA
2 - 1
POR
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 0
BEN
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LUS
0 - 1
ACA
16%
23%
62%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FAR
2 - 1
MAF
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FAR
1 - 0
LEX
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
FAR
5 - 2
AVE
31%
24%
44%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
COV
0 - 2
FAR
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
USA
1 - 2
FAR
5%
12%
83%
|
61 | 15 | 46 | +1 |