Académica vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
VIT
1 - 1
ACA
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
ACA
1 - 3
MAR
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
FAR
2 - 0
ACA
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
ACA
1 - 0
BMA
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
RIO
1 - 1
ACA
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
ALV
3 - 1
CHA
50%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
VST
4 - 0
ALV
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
ALV
0 - 3
CAM
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
ALV
0 - 2
SLB
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
FCP
3 - 1
ALV
88%
8%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |