Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
22.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
7º
6º
11
2º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
APC
39%
29%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
APC
1 - 1
ANG
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UCV
0 - 0
APC
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
APC
2 - 3
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
APC
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 1
CAR
35%
31%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
CFC
49%
27%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 0
CAR
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
DRZ
60%
23%
16%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |