AC Monza Sub 19 vs Brescia Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
4º
30
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
95% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
74% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 2
VEN
42%
21%
37%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 2
ASS
59%
20%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 1
SPA
62%
19%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PUB
0 - 2
ASS
9%
15%
76%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ASS
3 - 0
ABL
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 1
PUB
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VEN
2 - 0
BRE
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAD
55%
21%
23%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ABL
4 - 2
BRE
51%
21%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 1
USA
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |