AC Bellinzona vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
9º
8º
49
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 2
BEL
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCH
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BEL
4 - 0
BAD
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
THU
1 - 0
BEL
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
4 - 1
BEL
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 2
WIL
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
NEX
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCA
28%
24%
49%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
THU
4 - 0
NEX
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 1
NEX
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |