SS Arezzo vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
ARZ
24%
26%
49%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ARZ
4 - 0
CRO
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 1
ARZ
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ARZ
0 - 0
PRG
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
PES
0 - 2
ARZ
35%
26%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
TER
2 - 2
USF
33%
28%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CAV
0 - 0
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TER
2 - 3
PIS
55%
27%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 1
TER
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
TER
1 - 0
POT
55%
27%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |