SS Arezzo vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PON
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ACD
1 - 2
ARZ
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
ARZ
1 - 1
OLB
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PES
3 - 2
ARZ
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ARZ
1 - 3
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ASL
3 - 0
PIN
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 2
ASL
78%
16%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
ASL
0 - 0
ASG
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
REC
1 - 3
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SES
0 - 1
ASL
46%
28%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |