Abejar vs Valeranica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
71.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
ABE
87%
10%
4%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 0
ARC
53%
20%
27%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LAN
2 - 0
ABE
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 1
COV
43%
22%
35%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 3
ABE
65%
19%
16%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valeranica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
TAR
34%
23%
44%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 2
VAL
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 1
CDC
43%
22%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 2
NAV
79%
14%
8%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
VAL
39%
23%
38%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |