ABC vs Palmeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
ABC
58%
22%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FEL
0 - 6
ABC
9%
15%
76%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
ABC
2 - 2
ARN
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GLO
1 - 2
ABC
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABC
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 6
GLO
13%
19%
68%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ASS
1 - 0
PAL
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
POT
4 - 0
PAL
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 3
ARN
14%
20%
66%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -2 |