ABC vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.1%
4.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 3
ABC
9%
18%
73%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
ABC
2 - 1
BOT
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
ABC
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 0
ABC
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ABC
0 - 0
MIR
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
FEL
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ARN
4 - 0
FEL
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 3
POT
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 3
GLO
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
FEL
0 - 0
ACD
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |