ABC vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
ACD
0 - 2
ABC
11%
17%
72%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 1
ARN
60%
22%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ABC
2 - 0
ACD
77%
15%
9%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ASS
2 - 3
ABC
11%
19%
71%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 3
ABC
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ASS
0 - 0
FEL
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ARN
3 - 1
FEL
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
FEL
0 - 0
ARN
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
POT
0 - 2
FEL
47%
26%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |