ABC vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 3
ABC
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
GLO
0 - 3
ABC
15%
22%
63%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ABC
2 - 0
ARN
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
ABC
3 - 2
BAR
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
POT
1 - 3
ABC
11%
19%
70%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
FEL
1 - 3
POT
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
FEL
0 - 0
SAN
26%
23%
50%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
FEL
1 - 0
ASS
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GLO
1 - 1
FEL
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 2
FEL
79%
14%
8%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +1 |