ABC vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 1
ABC
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 2
4DE
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAM
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 0
ABC
68%
19%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 2
ABC
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
VOL
2 - 2
BOT
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
POR
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
MAD
78%
15%
6%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
BOT
16%
24%
60%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 2
FLA
7%
17%
76%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |