Portuguesa vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
21.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 1
POR
30%
29%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
POR
2 - 2
CIA
56%
27%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 2
POR
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
POR
0 - 2
AGU
41%
26%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
AUD
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOA
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 2
SAN
21%
28%
51%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
ITU
5 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ITU
0 - 1
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
MIR
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |