Portuguesa vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
JEC
3 - 0
POR
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
POT
84%
12%
4%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
POT
1 - 0
POR
8%
20%
72%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
POR
4 - 3
RIO
69%
19%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
OES
1 - 0
POR
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
ABC
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 1
SAN
11%
19%
70%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
SPO
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
SAN
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |