Cup Paulista Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Portuguesa vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DES
2 - 2
POR
20%
25%
56%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
DES
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BER
3 - 2
POR
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
OES
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
NOR
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
MAR
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BSP
1 - 3
MAR
36%
24%
40%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
COM
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
MAR
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |