Portuguesa vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
ICA
3 - 1
POR
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
DUQ
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
POR
6 - 1
PAR
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
AMF
2 - 3
POR
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
POR
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 2
PAR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
IFC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |