Portuguesa vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
17.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
POR
28%
27%
46%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
POR
0 - 1
PPE
60%
24%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 0
POR
39%
26%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
ASA
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
ARN
1 - 3
POR
20%
25%
55%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 0
AMF
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BAH
1 - 1
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 1
BAH
19%
23%
58%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
COT
2 - 0
BAH
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |