Portuguesa vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
GUA
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 2
POR
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
TUP
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 3
POR
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 2
POR
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 1
LON
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 1
TUP
33%
28%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAX
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 2
BRA
40%
29%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
TOM
1 - 0
CAX
46%
28%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |