Portuguesa vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
29.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
YPI
44%
26%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 0
POR
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 1
POR
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
VIT
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
BOA
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
YPI
2 - 1
BOT
38%
30%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
MOG
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
CAP
44%
25%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
BOT
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |