Portuguesa vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
COR
2 - 0
POR
83%
13%
4%
|
59 | 89 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
PPE
23%
27%
51%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
POR
83%
13%
5%
|
60 | 90 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
BRA
7%
18%
74%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 0
ITU
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 0
AGU
82%
14%
5%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIR
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAN
16%
25%
59%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
AGU
17%
25%
59%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |