Manauara vs Unidos do Alvorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manauara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MEC
2 - 1
OPE
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
MEC
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
MEC
0 - 0
NAC
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 2
MEC
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
MEC
61%
21%
19%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Unidos do Alvorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
UDA
0 - 1
SAO
17%
18%
65%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
UDA
56%
21%
24%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
UDA
0 - 2
PFC
34%
22%
44%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 0
UDA
59%
21%
19%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
4 - 5
UDA
68%
18%
15%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |