Copa Ecuador Semi-finals
Global 4-2
9 de Octubre vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DEL
3 - 1
OCT
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 0
OCT
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 0
CUE
49%
24%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
OCT
44%
23%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 1
OCT
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LIG
2 - 2
IVT
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 0
OCT
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
IVT
2 - 0
DEL
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 3
IVT
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CUE
2 - 1
IVT
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |