9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
3º
29
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
DHA
1 - 1
9DJ
61%
24%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 0
9DJ
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
9DJ
2 - 0
BUC
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
JAN
0 - 3
9DJ
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
9DJ
0 - 1
CDN
50%
26%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 0
SLP
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GYT
2 - 0
SPB
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 3
DFR
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
SPB
23%
26%
52%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SPB
3 - 0
DHA
27%
29%
45%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |