9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
3º
29
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 1
9DJ
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
9DJ
4 - 0
DHA
24%
28%
48%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
9DJ
0 - 0
IND
43%
29%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 2
9DJ
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
9DJ
2 - 1
LIN
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
DFR
1 - 1
SLP
36%
29%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
DFR
1 - 0
SPB
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DHA
0 - 0
DFR
59%
25%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
DFR
1 - 1
IND
41%
30%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
DFR
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |