9 de Julio Rafaela vs Central Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
56.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
8º
6º
49
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
9DJ
1 - 1
SOL
31%
28%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 0
9DJ
73%
18%
9%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
9DJ
0 - 1
JAN
27%
28%
45%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CDN
2 - 1
9DJ
49%
27%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
9DJ
2 - 1
GYT
18%
26%
55%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 0
SOL
69%
21%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CEN
3 - 0
BUC
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
JAN
2 - 1
CEN
29%
29%
41%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 1
CDN
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GYT
1 - 1
CEN
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |