4 de Julho vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
4DE
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
PAC
3 - 1
4DE
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 1
MOT
24%
27%
49%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
TUN
2 - 1
4DE
71%
19%
11%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
4DE
61%
23%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
RIV
3 - 0
FPI
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 1
RIV
34%
29%
38%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 0
4DE
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FPI
0 - 1
RIV
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 1
AAO
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |