4 de Julho vs Picos SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
4DE
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
4DE
0 - 1
RIV
22%
26%
52%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PIC
0 - 1
4DE
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
4DE
0 - 1
ALT
12%
19%
69%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
1 - 0
4DE
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Picos SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
PIC
1 - 2
RIV
18%
25%
58%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 1
PIC
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PIC
0 - 1
4DE
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 0
PIC
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
PIC
3 - 1
TOC
51%
24%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |