Zwickau vs Wismut Gera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1978 |
CHE
1 - 0
ZWI
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
ZWI
2 - 0
ERF
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
FCU
1 - 0
ZWI
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
ZWI
2 - 0
LOK
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
HAL
2 - 0
ZWI
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1978 |
WIS
0 - 2
BWA
37%
26%
36%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
SGD
2 - 1
WIS
89%
8%
3%
|
57 | 91 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
WIS
1 - 6
CZJ
22%
26%
53%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
BFC
4 - 0
WIS
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
WIS
1 - 1
BCB
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |