Zwickau vs Union Berlin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
BSA
1 - 2
ZWI
57%
20%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
ZWI
4 - 1
LAS
53%
20%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
ZWI
3 - 1
SGD
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
BEP
0 - 0
ZWI
56%
20%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
ZWI
4 - 1
BSS
40%
22%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
UNI
1 - 1
CHL
16%
20%
65%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
SED
4 - 0
UNI
83%
11%
7%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
BEP
2 - 3
UNI
80%
12%
8%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
SGD
5 - 0
UNI
79%
12%
9%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
UNI
2 - 1
BFM
13%
18%
70%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | +1 |