Zwickau vs SV 1899 Merseburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1982 |
ERF
5 - 2
ZWI
68%
19%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
ZWI
2 - 2
FVF
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
ROS
4 - 2
ZWI
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
ZWI
0 - 3
CHE
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
LOK
3 - 0
ZWI
75%
16%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SV 1899 Merseburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1982 |
SVM
0 - 3
CZJ
11%
18%
71%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
SVM
1 - 4
ERF
28%
27%
46%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
FVF
6 - 0
SVM
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
SVM
1 - 0
ROS
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
CHE
6 - 0
SVM
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |