Zwickau vs Dessau 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
73.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
EIL
2 - 0
ZWI
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ZWI
1 - 3
HAL
52%
25%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -4 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SVG
2 - 0
ZWI
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
ZWI
2 - 0
DRE
75%
17%
9%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
LOK
2 - 2
ZWI
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dessau 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
SVD
1 - 4
GER
89%
9%
2%
|
71 | 26 | 45 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
SVD
1 - 4
ZWI
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -5 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
BWA
4 - 0
SVD
61%
19%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
SVD
3 - 1
SGD
47%
22%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
BFM
1 - 1
SVD
56%
21%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |