Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ROS
2 - 0
ZWI
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
ZWI
4 - 2
BSG
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
ZWI
0 - 4
LOK
32%
27%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
CZJ
3 - 0
ZWI
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
FCU
0 - 0
ZWI
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ERF
2 - 1
FCU
58%
23%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
BWA
3 - 1
ERF
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
HAL
2 - 0
ERF
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
ERF
2 - 2
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
BCB
1 - 2
ERF
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |