Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1976 |
LOK
2 - 1
ZWI
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
ZWI
1 - 0
BSG
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1976 |
AND
2 - 0
ZWI
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
CZJ
2 - 2
ZWI
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1976 |
ZWI
0 - 3
AND
42%
26%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1976 |
ERF
1 - 1
FVF
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
ERF
2 - 2
LOK
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
BSG
0 - 1
ERF
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
ERF
2 - 0
CZJ
31%
26%
42%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
HAL
1 - 1
ERF
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |