Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
ROS
1 - 2
ZWI
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
ZWI
2 - 0
BFC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
SGD
0 - 0
ZWI
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
CHE
0 - 2
ZWI
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
ZWI
2 - 5
MAG
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1974 |
ERF
3 - 0
CHE
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
MAG
4 - 0
ERF
77%
15%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
ERF
1 - 2
CZJ
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
FVF
1 - 2
ERF
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
ERF
1 - 0
BSG
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |