Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
BWA
2 - 1
ZWI
70%
16%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
BAB
5 - 4
ZWI
52%
21%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
ZWI
2 - 0
ABS
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1956 |
ZWI
0 - 1
LAS
64%
19%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ERF
1 - 1
ZWI
49%
23%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ERF
1 - 1
CZJ
75%
14%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ERF
2 - 3
VOW
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
BFW
0 - 0
ERF
43%
23%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1956 |
ERF
2 - 0
BFC
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ERF
1 - 1
ZWI
49%
23%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |