Zwickau vs Gera 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
POS
0 - 4
ZWI
45%
26%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ZWI
1 - 2
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
HAL
4 - 1
ZWI
59%
24%
17%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ZWI
2 - 5
GER
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
DRE
2 - 0
ZWI
45%
27%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gera 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
GER
3 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
CHE
3 - 0
GER
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
GER
0 - 0
PLA
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
EIL
1 - 4
GER
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
POS
1 - 3
GER
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |