Zwickau vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
18º
6º
35
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 72 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 57 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 55 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 53 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 52 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 50 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 40 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 31 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ZWI
1 - 0
LUC
61%
20%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
VIK
0 - 0
ZWI
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
HER
3 - 0
ZWI
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ZWI
1 - 0
HAL
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZWI
3 - 2
EIL
59%
21%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
CZJ
0 - 2
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
CZJ
39%
25%
37%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CZJ
2 - 0
VIK
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
EIL
1 - 1
CZJ
11%
18%
71%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CZJ
0 - 1
LOK
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |