Zwickau vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GRU
0 - 0
ZWI
14%
21%
66%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ZWI
5 - 0
ROT
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BUD
1 - 3
ZWI
43%
27%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ZWI
3 - 0
CHE
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
AUE
1 - 0
ZWI
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ERZ
3 - 0
BUD
46%
26%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 1
ERZ
40%
24%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ERZ
2 - 1
AUE
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FCH
2 - 2
ERZ
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ERZ
2 - 2
DYN
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |