Zwickau vs Erfurt-Nord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
ZWI
2 - 1
AUE
73%
17%
11%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
POS
1 - 1
ZWI
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
MAG
3 - 0
ZWI
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
ZWI
1 - 3
CZJ
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
ZWI
0 - 1
DRE
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Erfurt-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
MAG
3 - 0
ERF
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
ERF
0 - 1
OBE
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
PLA
4 - 0
ERF
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
ERF
1 - 3
DRE
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
ERF
0 - 2
DRE
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |