Zwickau vs Eilenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
18º
7º
17
13º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 71 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 68 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 62 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 55 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 53 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 50 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 49 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 34 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 31 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 28 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 81% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
LOK
3 - 2
ZWI
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ZWI
0 - 3
ALT
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ERF
4 - 2
ZWI
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
ZWI
3 - 0
PLA
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 1
ZWI
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Eilenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
EIL
1 - 3
HER
29%
23%
48%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 2
EIL
75%
16%
8%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EIL
0 - 0
VIK
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
EIL
2 - 0
LUC
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 0
EIL
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |